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For these simulations, I didn't "trade" Russell to Baltimore, but I did minimize his presence on the Cubs' depth chart, so this is a decent stab at what a Machado acquisition might look like.
With Need helps rich in positional talent, the win upgrade is marginal, but the effect on Chicago's postseason fortunes is worth considering. But turning the hot corner over to him in Atlanta and moving Johan Camargo into a utility role had a startling effect on the Braves' win forecast.
Still, another third-base option such as Mike Moustakas or Adrian Beltre might make more sense for Atlanta. He does boost Arizona's forecast, though frankly I expected more. However, it seems that even the considerable upgrade he provides wouldn't be enough to close the gap in baseline talent between Arizona and the other top postseason clubs.
The Indians have ranked in the bottom 10 by bWAR at second base and all three outfield spots. The second-base issue is the most pertinent here, as Machado would bump Jose Ramirez over to the keystone, giving the Indians an Astros level of star power in the infield.
So while their chances to play into October are Need helps good, the system still sees them as underdogs if confronted by the Cubs, Nationals or Dodgers.
Machado, who could play shortstop in Milwaukee, narrows that gap. However, another addition, perhaps to the rotation, would likely be necessary to bolster the on-paper outlook. Other deadline candidates Milwaukee could look at include Jed LowrieWhit Merrifield and former Brewer Scooter Gennettbut none of those athletes plays short.
It would get especially complicated when Robinson Cano returns. However, Machado would help compensate for Cano's absence in the playoffs, when Cano will be ineligible because of his PED suspension. The Mariners are intriguing because they clearly have a talent deficit in relation to the AL's beasts, but they are a deep, well-balanced team with no glaring holes.
They need a creative general manager to upgrade the roster in a non-disruptive manner. Fortunately, in Jerry DiPoto, that's exactly what Seattle has. On one hand, the Red Sox's forecast going forward is to be better at all the infield spots, where they've fallen short thus far despite the team's overall impressive start.
However, the projection for a solid Dustin Pedroia going forward is tenuous at best. Still, the area I see ripe for an upgrade in Boston is behind the plate, with Miami's J. Realmuto being a fantastic fit. But Machado is good, too.
Holders Current win forecast: When you look at the Cubs' metrics above, and what's here, a Machado-to-Chicago trade looks like a worst-case scenario for the Dodgers. Los Angeles could certainly use Machado just on the face of it, not only because of the value upgrade he provides, but because of his style.
The Dodgers have a lot of similar hitters up and down the roster -- effective in the big picture but overly passive during some stretches.
Machado would be a jolt in the middle of all that. Beyond this possibility, L. There's some roster-wide regression -- crucial for the calculation on true talent level -- which contributes to that.
However, Philadelphia has definitely underperformed on the left side of the infield. Most of the players there are young -- Maikel FrancoJ. CrawfordScott Kingery -- so you don't know when, or if, they might put it together.
It really depends on just how much prospect inventory the Phillies are willing to move for a rental player they might be able to sign after the season anyway.
Getting Machado into the Washington lineup requires some shuffling, since the biggest need is at first base.
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